Precipitation Amounts as Irma Moves Inland


QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 626 AM EDT MON SEP 11 2017

...SOUTHEAST...

DRIER AIR ADVECTING INTO THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF HURRICANE IRMA IS CURRENTLY RESULTING IN LOWER MAXIMUM TOTALS FROM LARGE-SCALE/AREAL-AVERAGE PERSPECTIVE COMPARED TO PREVIOUS EXPECTATIONS. THE MODELS HAVE PICKED UP ON THESE TRENDS...THOUGH GIVEN THE CONTINUED EXPANSIVE AREA OF HEAVY SHORT TERM RATES NORTH OF IRMA'S CENTER...WIDESPREAD ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS NEAR 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED AFTER 12Z MON ACROSS NORTHERN FL...SOUTHERN-CENTRAL GA...EASTERN AL...AND SOUTHERN SC. OVER THESE AREAS...MODERATE AND HIGH RISKS FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL BE NOTED IN THE DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK (ERO)...WITH THE GREATEST (HIGH) RISK FROM NORTHEAST FL...SOUTHEAST GA...AND SOUTHERN SC GIVEN THE ELONGATED...ROBUST SPIRAL BANDS N-NE OF IMRA'S CENTER.


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